Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers head-to-head
San Francisco 49ers 59% to win. The biggest signal favoring 49ers:
- Home Field Advantage. 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SF 52% (−7)
- If the rating edge were neutral: SF 59% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at 49ers
The Eagles visit the 49ers at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the 49ers a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Eagles to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the 49ers (high): 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: 49ers ELO 1596 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: +14)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Eagles
49ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game50%NYG win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
49ers has a 59% win probability, while Eagles has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.