Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
New York Giants 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Giants:
- Home Field Advantage. Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: NYG 56% (+6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NYG 46% (−4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at Giants
The Eagles visit the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 18 action.
Our model gives the Giants a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Eagles to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Giants ELO 1414 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -169)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Giants (medium): Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Giants turnover differential (+0) vs Eagles (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Giants
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Eagles
Giants
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Giants
- Previous game57%NYG win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Other Week 18 games
- 53%NO win probability
- 55%CAR win probability
- 57%SF win probability
- 60%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Giants has a 50% win probability, while Eagles has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.