Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans head-to-head
Green Bay Packers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Packers:
- Home Field Advantage. Packers are 2-1 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: GB 51% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: GB 55% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Texans at Packers
The Texans visit the Packers at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Packers a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Texans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Packers (medium): Packers are 2-1 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Packers ELO 1529 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -12)
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Green Bay Packers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Texans
Packers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game61%HOU win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Packers has a 55% win probability, while Texans has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI.