Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Houston Texans 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Texans:
- ELO Rating. Texans ELO 1541 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +222)
- Home Field Advantage. Texans are 0-3 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: HOU 53% (−8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: HOU 60% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Titans at Texans
The Titans visit the Texans at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX in NFL regular season Week 18 action.
Our model gives the Texans a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Texans (medium): Texans ELO 1541 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +222)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Texans (low): Texans are 0-3 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Texans
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Houston Texans
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Titans
Texans
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Houston Texans
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Other Week 18 games
- 53%NO win probability
- 55%CAR win probability
- 57%SF win probability
- 60%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Texans has a 61% win probability, while Titans has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX.