Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rams:
- ELO Rating. Rams ELO 1561 vs Packers ELO 1529 (diff: +32)
- Home Field Advantage. Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Packers are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAR 53% (−1)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAR 53% (−1)
Win probability movement
LAR home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Packers at Rams
The Packers visit the Rams at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Rams a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Packers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (low): Rams ELO 1561 vs Packers ELO 1529 (diff: +32)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Rams (low): Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Packers are 2-1 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Packers
Rams
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game52%LAR win probability
Green Bay Packers
Other Week 12 games
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
- 56%PIT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Rams has a 54% win probability, while Packers has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.