Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head
Pittsburgh Steelers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Steelers:
- Home Field Advantage. Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Broncos are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 49% (−7)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 59% (+3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Broncos at Steelers
The Broncos visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Steelers a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Broncos to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Steelers (high): Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Broncos are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Broncos (low): Steelers ELO 1517 vs Broncos ELO 1598 (diff: -81)
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- ELO RatingFavors Denver Broncos
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Broncos are 1-2 on the road
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Broncos
Steelers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Previous game67%TB win probability
- Next game56%PIT win probability
Denver Broncos
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game67%DEN win probability
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Steelers has a 56% win probability, while Broncos has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.