Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -123)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 45% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 53% (+3)
Win probability movement
DAL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at Cowboys
The Eagles visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Cowboys to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -123)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cowboys (low): Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Cowboys turnover differential (+0) vs Eagles (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Eagles
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Dallas Cowboys
- Previous game51%DAL win probability
- Next game64%SEA win probability
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game53%PHI win probability
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
- 56%PIT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 50% win probability, while Eagles has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.