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NFL2026 season

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Thu, Nov 26, 2026

Bills logo
BUF
Buffalo Bills
Upcoming
Chiefs logo
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
BUF 57%43% KC
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Buffalo Bills
  • ELO Rating — Bills ELO 1631 vs Chiefs ELO 1534 (diff: +97)
  • Home Field Advantage — Bills are 2-1 at home this season; Chiefs are 2-0 on the road
Kansas City Chiefs

No recent factors yet.

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