Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -170)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 47% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 54% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at Cardinals
The Eagles visit the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ in NFL regular season Week 13 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Cardinals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -170)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cardinals (low): Cardinals are 0-2 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Cardinals turnover differential (+0) vs Eagles (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Arizona Cardinals
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Eagles
Cardinals
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game54%ARI win probability
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game61%PHI win probability
Other Week 13 games
- 52%LAR win probability
- 52%CLE win probability
- 51%DET win probability
- 54%TB win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cardinals has a 47% win probability, while Eagles has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.

