Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings head-to-head
Minnesota Vikings 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Vikings:
- ELO Rating. Vikings ELO 1602 vs Falcons ELO 1417 (diff: +185)
- Home Field Advantage. Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Falcons are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: MIN 57% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 59% (−5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Falcons at Vikings
The Falcons visit the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Vikings a 64% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Falcons to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings ELO 1602 vs Falcons ELO 1417 (diff: +185)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Falcons are 2-1 on the road
- Rest Days is neutral: Rest day data not available for this matchup
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Falcons
Vikings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Minnesota Vikings
- Previous game51%MIN win probability
- Next game62%MIN win probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Previous game53%CHI win probability
- Next game51%DET win probability
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 64% win probability, while Falcons has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.