Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Lions:
- Home Field Advantage. Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Packers are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Packers at Lions
The Packers visit the Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, MI in NFL regular season Week 7 action.
Our model gives the Lions a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Packers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Lions (medium): Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Packers are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Lions ELO 1544 vs Packers ELO 1529 (diff: +15)
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Lions
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
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Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Packers
Lions
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lions has a 57% win probability, while Packers has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.