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NFL2026 season

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Packers logo
GB
Green Bay Packers
Upcoming
Panthers logo
CAR
Carolina Panthers
GB 56%44% CAR
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Carolina Panthers
  • Injuries — Panthers less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Packers 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Packers players matter more
Green Bay Packers
  • Home Field Advantage — Packers are 2-1 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating — Packers ELO 1529 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +76)
  • Rest Days — Packers has rest advantage (10 days) over Panthers (11 days)

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Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.