NFL2026 season
Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Sun, Dec 6, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Bears
- Home Field Advantage — Bears are 3-1 at home this season; Jaguars are 1-1 on the road
Jacksonville Jaguars
- ELO Rating — Bears ELO 1531 vs Jaguars ELO 1568 (diff: -38)
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