Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans head-to-head
Cleveland Browns 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Browns:
- Home Field Advantage. Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CLE 47% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CLE 57% (+4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Texans at Browns
The Texans visit the Browns at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the Browns a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Texans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Browns (medium): Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Texans (low): Browns ELO 1422 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -119)
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Browns
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Texans
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Texans
Browns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game57%CLE win probability
Houston Texans
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game57%HOU win probability
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 58%IND win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Browns has a 53% win probability, while Texans has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH.