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NFL2026 season

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Sun, Nov 15, 2026

Falcons logo
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
Upcoming
Chiefs logo
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
ATL 45%55% KC
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Atlanta Falcons

No recent factors yet.

Kansas City Chiefs
  • ELO Rating — Falcons ELO 1417 vs Chiefs ELO 1534 (diff: -117)
  • Home Field Advantage — Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; Chiefs are 2-0 on the road

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