Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers head-to-head
Houston Texans 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Texans:
- ELO Rating. Chargers ELO 1478 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -62)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: HOU 49% (−2)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: HOU 50% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Texans at Chargers
The Texans visit the Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Texans a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Chargers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Texans (low): Chargers ELO 1478 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -62)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Chargers are 0-3 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Texans
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Texans
Chargers
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Chargers
- Previous game57%KC win probability
- Next game60%BAL win probability
Houston Texans
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game53%CLE win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Chargers has a 49% win probability, while Texans has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.