New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Eagles ELO 1582 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +169)
- Home Field Advantage. Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 56% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 58% (−4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Giants at Eagles
The Giants visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Giants to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles ELO 1582 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +169)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Eagles turnover differential (+0) vs Giants (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Giants
Eagles
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game58%PHI win probability
New York Giants
- Previous game57%NYG win probability
- Next game57%NYG win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 54%IND win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Eagles has a 62% win probability, while Giants has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.