Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons vs Cincinnati Bengals head-to-head
Cincinnati Bengals 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Bengals:
- ELO Rating. Falcons ELO 1417 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -110)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: CIN 49% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CIN 52% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bengals at Falcons
The Bengals visit the Falcons at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Falcons to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Bengals (low): Falcons ELO 1417 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -110)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; Bengals are 2-1 on the road
- Rest Days is neutral: Rest day data not available for this matchup
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bengals
Falcons
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Atlanta Falcons
- Previous game53%CHI win probability
- Next game55%KC win probability
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game56%CIN win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
- 54%IND win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Falcons has a 47% win probability, while Bengals has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.