Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers head-to-head
Baltimore Ravens 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ravens:
- Home Field Advantage. Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Chargers are 0-3 on the road
- ELO Rating. Ravens ELO 1535 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +57)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BAL 54% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: BAL 58% (−2)
Win probability movement
BAL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Chargers at Ravens
The Chargers visit the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the Ravens a 60% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Chargers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ravens (medium): Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Chargers are 0-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Ravens (low): Ravens ELO 1535 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +57)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Chargers
Ravens
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game51%CAR win probability
Los Angeles Chargers
- Previous game57%KC win probability
- Next game57%LAC win probability
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ravens has a 60% win probability, while Chargers has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.