New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers vs New York Jets head-to-head
Los Angeles Chargers 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Chargers:
- ELO Rating. Chargers ELO 1478 vs Jets ELO 1403 (diff: +75)
- Home Field Advantage. Chargers are 0-3 at home this season; Jets are 1-3 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAC 54% (−3)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAC 55% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Jets at Chargers
The Jets visit the Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA in NFL regular season Week 11 action.
Our model gives the Chargers a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Jets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Chargers (low): Chargers ELO 1478 vs Jets ELO 1403 (diff: +75)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Chargers (low): Chargers are 0-3 at home this season; Jets are 1-3 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Chargers turnover differential (+0) vs Jets (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Chargers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Chargers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Jets
No player data available
Chargers
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Jets
- Previous game52%NYJ win probability
- Next game54%MIA win probability
Other Week 11 games
- 57%HOU win probability
- 60%DAL win probability
- 51%NYG win probability
- 62%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Chargers has a 57% win probability, while Jets has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.