Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 50% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 49ers:
- ELO Rating. 49ers ELO 1596 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +184)
- Home Field Advantage. 49ers are 1-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 49ers defeated the Cardinals 36-30.
Our model predicted the 49ers would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Cardinals and was a major factor: Cardinals healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs 49ers 10 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the 49ers and was a notable factor: 49ers ELO 1596 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +184)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 49ers and was a contributing factor: 49ers are 1-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the 49ers have 10 player(s) ruled out, while the Cardinals have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
49ers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Arizona Cardinals
- ELO RatingFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
49ers
Cardinals
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Cardinals healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs 49ers 10 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
49ers
Cardinals
Key Players
Cardinals
49ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
49ers has a 50% win probability, while Cardinals has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.