NFL2026 season
Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
SF
San Francisco 49ers
35
vs
MIA
Miami Dolphins
13
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Miami Dolphins
- Injuries — Dolphins healthier: 1 out, 1 doubtful vs Patriots 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Dolphins are 0-2 at home this season; Patriots are 1-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
San Francisco 49ers
- ELO Rating — Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
- Injuries — 49ers less affected by injuries: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Falcons players matter more
- Home Field Advantage — Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; 49ers are 2-0 on the road
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