Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs head-to-head
Kansas City Chiefs 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Chiefs:
- Home Field Advantage. Chiefs are 3-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 2-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Chiefs ELO 1534 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +122)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: KC 56% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: KC 58% (−4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Cardinals at Chiefs
The Cardinals visit the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO in NFL regular season Week 11 action.
Our model gives the Chiefs a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Cardinals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Chiefs (medium): Chiefs are 3-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 2-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Chiefs (medium): Chiefs ELO 1534 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +122)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Chiefs turnover differential (+0) vs Cardinals (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Chiefs
- ELO RatingFavors Kansas City Chiefs
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Cardinals
Chiefs
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game55%ARI win probability
Other Week 11 games
- 57%HOU win probability
- 60%DAL win probability
- 51%NYG win probability
- 62%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Chiefs has a 62% win probability, while Cardinals has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.