Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 63% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Seahawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating. Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +183)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Seahawks defeated the Chargers 30-23.
Our model predicted the Seahawks would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Seahawks and was a major factor: Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Seahawks and was a notable factor: Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +183)
- Injuries favored the Chargers and was a notable factor: Chargers healthier: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Seahawks 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Seahawks have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Chargers have 8.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Seahawks won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Seahawks
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Chargers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Seahawks
Chargers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Chargers
Seahawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Seahawks has a 63% win probability, while Chargers has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA.