Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 76% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Seahawks:
- Injuries. Seahawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Chargers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating. Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +183)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Chargers at Seahawks
The Chargers visit the Seahawks at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA in NFL regular season Week 4 action.
Our model gives the Seahawks a 76% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Chargers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Seahawks (high): Seahawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Chargers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Seahawks (high): Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (medium): Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +183)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Seahawks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Chargers have 5.
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Seahawks
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Seahawks
Chargers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Seahawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Chargers 5 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; Chargers are 0-1 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Seahawks
Chargers
Key Players
Chargers
Seahawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Seahawks has a 76% win probability, while Chargers has a 24% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA.