NFL2026 season
Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Seattle Seahawks
- Injuries — Seahawks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 9 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
- Home Field Advantage — Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 2-1 on the road
Washington Commanders
- Injuries — Commanders healthier: 3 out, 1 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days — Commanders has rest advantage (13 days) over Eagles (14 days)
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