PlayDecoded
Menu
NFL2026 season

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Seahawks logo
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
30
vs
Chargers logo
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
23
SEA 63%37% LAC
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Los Angeles Chargers
  • Injuries — Chargers healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Rams 7 out, 0 doubtful
Seattle Seahawks
  • Injuries — Seahawks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating — Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
  • Home Field Advantage — Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 2-1 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.