Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jaguars:
- Home Field Advantage. Jaguars are 2-0 at home this season; Eagles are 1-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Eagles at Jaguars
The Eagles visit the Jaguars at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Jaguars a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Eagles will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Jaguars (medium): Jaguars are 2-0 at home this season; Eagles are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Jaguars ELO 1568 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -14)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Jaguars turnover differential (+0) vs Eagles (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Jacksonville Jaguars
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Jaguars
Eagles
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Eagles
Jaguars
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jaguars has a 57% win probability, while Eagles has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.