NFL2026 season
Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field Advantage — Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Chargers are 0-3 on the road
- ELO Rating — Rams ELO 1561 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +83)
Philadelphia Eagles
- ELO Rating — Commanders ELO 1424 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -158)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

