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Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Eagles logo
Eagles
Philadelphia
0
vs
Rams logo
Rams
Los Angeles
0
PHI 44%56% LAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Rams 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rams:

  • Injuries. Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Rams has rest advantage (6 days) over Eagles (5 days)

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VenueLincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rams (away)
Eagles (home)
56%
Win probability
44%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
8

Game Preview

Rams at Eagles

The Rams visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 4 action.

Our model gives the Rams a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Eagles will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Rams (high): Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (high): Eagles are 1-0 at home this season; Rams are 0-1 on the road
  • Rest Days favors the Rams (low): Rams has rest advantage (6 days) over Eagles (5 days)
  • The Eagles are without 8 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Rams56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors LAR

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Rams
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • Rest DaysFavors Los Angeles Rams
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAR
PHI
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours LAR|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Eagles

Our Model44%

Rams

Our Model56%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful

Rams

Home Field Advantage

Eagles are 1-0 at home this season; Rams are 0-1 on the road

Eagles

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 4:45:03 PM

Eagles

Zack BaunLB(Concussion)
OUT
Fred JohnsonOT(Knee)
OUT
Lane JohnsonOT(Personal)
OUT
Cole PaytonQB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Marcus EppsS(Groin)
OUT
Dallas GoedertTE(Knee - MCL)
OUT
Hollywood BrownWR(Ankle)
OUT
DeVonta SmithWR(Hamstring)
OUT

Rams

No injuries reported

Key Players

Rams

No player data available

Eagles

Jalen HurtsQB
Tanner McKeeQB
Cole PaytonQBOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Andy DaltonQB
Johnny WilsonWR

Frequently Asked Questions

Eagles has a 44% win probability, while Rams has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

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