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Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2026
completed
Eagles logo
Eagles
Philadelphia
20
vs
Rams logo
Rams
Los Angeles
24
PHI 44%56% LAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Rams 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rams:

  • Injuries. Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Rams has rest advantage (6 days) over Eagles (5 days)

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VenueLincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rams (away)
Eagles (home)
56%
Win probability
44%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rams defeated the Eagles 24-20.

Our model predicted the Rams would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Rams and was a major factor: Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Eagles and was a major factor: Eagles are 1-0 at home this season; Rams are 0-1 on the road
  • Rest Days favored the Rams and was a contributing factor: Rams has rest advantage (6 days) over Eagles (5 days)
  • The Eagles are without 8 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rams won 20-24

Rams won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rams at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Rams
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • Rest DaysFavors Los Angeles Rams
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAR
PHI
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours LAR|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Eagles

Our Model44%

Rams

Our Model56%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Rams healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful

Rams

Home Field Advantage

Eagles are 1-0 at home this season; Rams are 0-1 on the road

Eagles

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Key Players

Rams

No player data available

Eagles

Andy DaltonQB
Jalen HurtsQB
Cole PaytonQB
Tanner McKeeQB
Johnny WilsonWR

Frequently Asked Questions

Eagles has a 44% win probability, while Rams has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

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