Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Philadelphia Eagles 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Eagles:
- Home Field Advantage. Bears are 0-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-0 on the road
- ELO Rating. Bears ELO 1531 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -51)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bears defeated the Eagles 27-7.
Our model predicted the Eagles would win with 52% confidence, but the Bears pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Eagles and was a contributing factor: Bears are 0-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-0 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Eagles and was a contributing factor: Bears ELO 1531 vs Eagles ELO 1582 (diff: -51)
- Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Bears (8 out) vs Eagles (6 out)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Bears have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Eagles have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bears won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Bears
Eagles
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Eagles
Bears
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bears has a 48% win probability, while Eagles has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL.