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NFL2026 season

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Oct 4, 2026

Bengals logo
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
17
vs
Jaguars logo
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
22
CIN 58%42% JAX
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Cincinnati Bengals
  • ELO Rating — Bengals ELO 1527 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +209)
  • Home Field Advantage — Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
  • Injuries — Bengals less affected by injuries: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Titans 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Titans players matter more
Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Injuries — Jaguars healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Colts 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating — Jaguars ELO 1568 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: +138)
  • Home Field Advantage — Jaguars are 3-1 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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