Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Texans:
- ELO Rating. Titans ELO 1318 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -222)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Texans defeated the Titans 26-3.
Our model predicted the Texans would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- ELO Rating favored the Texans and was a notable factor: Titans ELO 1318 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -222)
- Injuries favored the Titans and was a contributing factor: Titans healthier: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Texans 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Titans and was a contributing factor: Titans are 0-2 at home this season; Texans are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Titans have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Texans have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Texans won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Texans
- InjuriesFavors Tennessee Titans
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Tennessee Titans
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Titans
Texans
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Titans
Texans
Key Players
Texans
Titans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Titans has a 50% win probability, while Texans has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.