San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers head-to-head
San Francisco 49ers 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring 49ers:
- ELO Rating. Cowboys ELO 1460 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -137)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: SF 49% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SF 53% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
49ers at Cowboys
The 49ers visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the 49ers a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Cowboys to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the 49ers (medium): Cowboys ELO 1460 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -137)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; 49ers are 2-0 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
49ers
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Dallas Cowboys
- Previous game51%DAL win probability
- Next game60%DAL win probability
San Francisco 49ers
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 46% win probability, while 49ers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.