Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers
Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers head-to-head
San Francisco 49ers 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 49ers:
- ELO Rating. 49ers ELO 1596 vs Raiders ELO 1415 (diff: +181)
- Home Field Advantage. 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: SF 57% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SF 59% (−5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Raiders at 49ers
The Raiders visit the 49ers at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the 49ers a 64% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Raiders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the 49ers (medium): 49ers ELO 1596 vs Raiders ELO 1415 (diff: +181)
- Home Field Advantage favors the 49ers (medium): 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: 49ers (0 out) vs Raiders (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Raiders
49ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
San Francisco 49ers
Las Vegas Raiders
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
49ers has a 64% win probability, while Raiders has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.