Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks head-to-head
Seattle Seahawks 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Seahawks:
- ELO Rating. Raiders ELO 1415 vs Seahawks ELO 1661 (diff: -246)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: SEA 45% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SEA 57% (+3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Seahawks at Raiders
The Seahawks visit the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV in NFL regular season Week 10 action.
Our model gives the Seahawks a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Raiders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (high): Raiders ELO 1415 vs Seahawks ELO 1661 (diff: -246)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Raiders (medium): Raiders are 1-2 at home this season; Seahawks are 1-2 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Raiders turnover differential (+0) vs Seahawks (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Las Vegas Raiders
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Raiders ELO 1415 vs Seahawks ELO 1661 (diff: -246)
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Seahawks
Raiders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Las Vegas Raiders
Seattle Seahawks
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game55%SF win probability
Other Week 10 games
- 57%NYG win probability
- 58%DET win probability
- 55%KC win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Raiders has a 46% win probability, while Seahawks has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV.