Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head
Pittsburgh Steelers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Steelers:
- Home Field Advantage. Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 51% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 56% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Ravens at Steelers
The Ravens visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Steelers a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Ravens to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Steelers (medium): Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Steelers ELO 1517 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -19)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Ravens
Steelers
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Previous game67%TB win probability
- Next game59%PIT win probability
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game59%BAL win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 52%PHI win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Steelers has a 55% win probability, while Ravens has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.