Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns head-to-head
Baltimore Ravens 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ravens:
- ELO Rating. Ravens ELO 1535 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +114)
- Home Field Advantage. Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: BAL 55% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BAL 56% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Browns at Ravens
The Browns visit the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD in NFL regular season Week 16 action.
Our model gives the Ravens a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Browns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Ravens (low): Ravens ELO 1535 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +114)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ravens (medium): Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Ravens turnover differential (+0) vs Browns (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Browns
Ravens
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game53%CIN win probability
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game59%CLE win probability
Other Week 16 games
- 55%PHI win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
- 54%DEN win probability
- 59%SEA win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ravens has a 59% win probability, while Browns has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.