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Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head

NFLWeek 16 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Steelers logo
Steelers
Pittsburgh
0
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Carolina
0
PIT 59%41% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
High

Pittsburgh Steelers 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Steelers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Steelers ELO 1517 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +64)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 54% (−5)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 57% (−2)

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VenueAcrisure Stadium
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Steelers (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Panthers at Steelers

The Panthers visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA in NFL regular season Week 16 action.

Our model gives the Steelers a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Panthers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Steelers (medium): Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Steelers (low): Steelers ELO 1517 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +64)
  • Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
Steelers59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors PIT

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
  • ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
PIT
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours CAR|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 11:26:39 AM

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Key Players

Panthers

Haynes KingQB
Bryce YoungQB
Will GrierQB
Kenny PickettQB
Casey WashingtonWR

Steelers

Drew AllarQB
Mason RudolphQB
Aaron RodgersQB
Will HowardQB
Germie BernardWR

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Frequently Asked Questions

Steelers has a 59% win probability, while Panthers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.

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