Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head
Pittsburgh Steelers 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Steelers:
- Home Field Advantage. Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating. Steelers ELO 1517 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +64)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 54% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 57% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Panthers at Steelers
The Panthers visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA in NFL regular season Week 16 action.
Our model gives the Steelers a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Panthers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Steelers (medium): Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Steelers (low): Steelers ELO 1517 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +64)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Panthers
Steelers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Previous game67%TB win probability
- Next game54%PIT win probability
Carolina Panthers
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game52%SEA win probability
Other Week 16 games
- 55%PHI win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
- 54%DEN win probability
- 59%SEA win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Steelers has a 59% win probability, while Panthers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.

