Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Pittsburgh Steelers 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Steelers:
- ELO Rating. Titans ELO 1318 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: -199)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 47% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 56% (+2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Steelers at Titans
The Steelers visit the Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Steelers a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Steelers (medium): Titans ELO 1318 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: -199)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Titans (low): Titans are 0-3 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Titans (0 out) vs Steelers (0 out)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Tennessee Titans
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Steelers
Titans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game61%HOU win probability
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Previous game67%TB win probability
- Next game56%BAL win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Titans has a 46% win probability, while Steelers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.