Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Detroit Lions 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Lions:
- Injuries. Lions less affected by injuries: 10 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 10 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Panthers players matter more
- ELO Rating. Panthers ELO 1453 vs Lions ELO 1544 (diff: -91)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Panthers defeated the Lions 32-26.
Our model predicted the Lions would win with 55% confidence, but the Panthers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Lions and was a notable factor: Lions less affected by injuries: 10 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 10 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Panthers players ...
- ELO Rating favored the Lions and was a contributing factor: Panthers ELO 1453 vs Lions ELO 1544 (diff: -91)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Panthers and was a notable factor: Panthers are 0-1 at home this season; Lions are 0-1 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Panthers have 10 player(s) ruled out, while the Lions have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Panthers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Lions
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Lions
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Panthers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Panthers
Lions
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Panthers
Lions
Key Players
Lions
Panthers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Panthers has a 45% win probability, while Lions has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC.