New York Jets at Detroit Lions
New York Jets 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jets:
- Injuries. Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Lions 8 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Lions defeated the Jets 31-24.
Our model predicted the Jets would win with 54% confidence, but the Lions pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Jets and was a major factor: Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Lions 8 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Lions and was a notable factor: Lions ELO 1544 vs Jets ELO 1403 (diff: +141)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Lions and was a notable factor: Lions are 1-0 at home this season; Jets are 1-0 on the road
- The Lions are without 8 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Lions won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Jets
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Lions
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Lions
- Rest DaysFavors Detroit Lions
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Lions
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Lions 8 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Jets
No player data available
Lions
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lions has a 46% win probability, while Jets has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.