NFL2026 season
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
BUF
Buffalo Bills
41
vs
DET
Detroit Lions
31
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Buffalo Bills
- Injuries — Bills healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Ravens 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Bills ELO 1631 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: +96)
- Home Field Advantage — Bills are 2-1 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road
Detroit Lions
- Home Field Advantage — Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Vikings are 3-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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