New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants head-to-head
Dallas Cowboys 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Cowboys:
- Home Field Advantage. Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +46)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DAL 54% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: DAL 56% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Giants at Cowboys
The Giants visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Cowboys a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Giants to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cowboys (medium): Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Cowboys (low): Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +46)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- ELO RatingFavors Dallas Cowboys
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Giants
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Dallas Cowboys
- Previous game51%DAL win probability
- Next game54%WSH win probability
New York Giants
- Previous game57%NYG win probability
- Next game50%NYG win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 58% win probability, while Giants has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.