Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings 73% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Vikings:
- Home Field Advantage. Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Vikings ELO 1602 vs Dolphins ELO 1408 (diff: +193)
- Injuries. Vikings healthier: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 10 out, 0 doubtful
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Vikings defeated the Dolphins 15-10.
Our model predicted the Vikings would win with 73% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Vikings and was a major factor: Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Vikings and was a notable factor: Vikings ELO 1602 vs Dolphins ELO 1408 (diff: +193)
- Injuries favored the Vikings and was a notable factor: Vikings healthier: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Vikings have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Dolphins have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Vikings won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Vikings
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Vikings
Dolphins
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Vikings
Dolphins
Key Players
Dolphins
Vikings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 73% win probability, while Dolphins has a 27% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.