Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings 80% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Vikings:
- Injuries. Vikings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Vikings ELO 1602 vs Dolphins ELO 1408 (diff: +193)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Dolphins at Vikings
The Dolphins visit the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN in NFL regular season Week 4 action.
Our model gives the Vikings a 80% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Dolphins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Vikings (high): Vikings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Vikings (high): Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings ELO 1602 vs Dolphins ELO 1408 (diff: +193)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Vikings have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Dolphins have 10.
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Vikings
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Vikings
Dolphins
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Vikings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 10 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Vikings are 1-0 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-2 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Vikings
Dolphins
Key Players
Dolphins
Vikings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 80% win probability, while Dolphins has a 20% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.