NFL2026 season
Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Kansas City Chiefs
No recent factors yet.
Miami Dolphins
- Injuries — Dolphins healthier: 1 out, 1 doubtful vs Patriots 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Dolphins are 0-2 at home this season; Patriots are 1-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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