Week 5
Scheduled
Saints
New Orleans
40%
vs
Vikings
Minnesota
60%
Slight Lean
NO vs MINbreakdown →
NFLNFC • North
Minnesota Vikings
NFC Conference • North Division
Record
4-0
Division
North
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
1 game
Next Game Prediction
at New Orleans Saints • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
60%
win probability
Model accuracy on Minnesota Vikings: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Minnesota Vikings - 2026 Season
160415911579
Current Elo
1602
Season Change
+20
Season High
1602
Season Low
1581
Avg Change
+21.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Minnesota Vikings - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-9%
Model Edge Record
0-1
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Saints | A | 60% | 54% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Dolphins | H | 73% | 83% | -10% | WIN✓ |
| Sep 27 | Buccaneers | A | 47% | 70% | -24% | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Vikingsupcoming games →Recent Games
View all Vikingsrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Minnesota Vikings play in the NFC conference, North division.
The Vikings play their home games in Minnesota.
We analyze Vikings games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
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Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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