Week 5
Scheduled
Dolphins
Miami
42%
vs
Bengals
Cincinnati
58%
Slight Lean
MIA vs CINbreakdown →
NFLAFC • East
Miami Dolphins
AFC Conference • East Division
Record
0-4
Division
East
Conference
AFC
Upcoming
1 game
Next Game Prediction
vs Cincinnati Bengals • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
42%
win probability
Model accuracy on Miami Dolphins: 100% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Miami Dolphins - 2026 Season
142314151407
Current Elo
1408
Season Change
-13
Season High
1421
Season Low
1408
Avg Change
-22.1
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Miami Dolphins - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+17%
Model Edge Record
0-3
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Bengals | H | 42% | 25% | +17%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Vikings | A | 27% | 17% | +10%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Sep 27 | Chiefs | H | 35% | 10% | +25%★ | LOSS✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Dolphinsupcoming games →Recent Games
View all Dolphinsrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Miami Dolphins play in the AFC conference, East division.
The Dolphins play their home games in Miami.
We analyze Dolphins games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
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