New York Jets at Chicago Bears
New York Jets 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Jets:
- Injuries. Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 11 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days. Jets has rest advantage (7 days) over Bears (5 days)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bears defeated the Jets 23-12.
Our model predicted the Jets would win with 58% confidence, but the Bears pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Jets and was a major factor: Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 11 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Bears and was a notable factor: Bears ELO 1531 vs Jets ELO 1403 (diff: +128)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Bears and was a notable factor: Bears are 1-1 at home this season; Jets are 1-1 on the road
- The Bears are without 11 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bears won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Jets
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Bears
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bears
- Rest DaysFavors New York Jets
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Bears
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 11 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Bears
Jets
No injuries reported
Key Players
Jets
No player data available
Bears
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bears has a 42% win probability, while Jets has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL.