...
Scheduled
Yankees
New York
60%
Slight Lean
vs
Rays
Tampa Bay
40%
NYY vs TBbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL East
Tampa Bay Rays
American League Conference • AL East Division
Record
84-61
Division
AL East
Conference
American League
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at New York Yankees • Fri, Oct 9 12:00 AM
40%
win probability
Model accuracy on Tampa Bay Rays: 68% (138 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Tampa Bay Rays - 2026 Season
160215521502
Current Elo
1552
Season Change
+0
Season High
1552
Season Low
1552
Avg Change
+5.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Tampa Bay Rays - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+8%
Model Edge Record
7-4
Model Edge Win %
64%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Yankees | H | 52% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 9 | Yankees | A | 40% | 38% | +2% | Scheduled |
| Oct 8 | Yankees | A | 56% | 34% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 6 | Yankees | H | 66% | 59% | +6%★ | WIN✓ |
| Oct 3 | Yankees | H | 64% | 56% | +9%★ | WIN✓ |
| Sep 27 | Phillies | A | 69% | 36% | +33%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 26 | Phillies | A | 66% | 46% | +21%★ | WIN✓ |
| Sep 25 | Phillies | A | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 24 | Yankees | A | 54% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 23 | Yankees | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 8 | Mariners | A | 62% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 5 | Rockies | A | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 5 | Rockies | A | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 4 | Rockies | A | 45% | 59% | -14% | WIN✗ |
| Aug 2 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 33% | +21%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 1 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 57% | -2% | WIN✓ |
| Jul 31 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 30 | Rangers | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 29 | Rangers | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 28 | Rangers | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 26 | Guardians | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 25 | Guardians | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 24 | Guardians | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 23 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 22 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 21 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 20 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 19 | Red Sox | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 18 | Red Sox | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 17 | Red Sox | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 17 | Red Sox | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 12 | Mariners | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 11 | Mariners | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 10 | Mariners | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 9 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 8 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 7 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 6 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 5 | Astros | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 4 | Astros | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 4 | Astros | A | 44% | 50% | -7% | WIN✗ |
| Jul 2 | Royals | A | 46% | 42% | +4% | WIN✗ |
| Jul 1 | Royals | A | 46% | 70% | -24% | WIN✗ |
| Jun 30 | Royals | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 28 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 27 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 26 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 25 | Royals | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 24 | Royals | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 23 | Royals | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 22 | Royals | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 21 | Nationals | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 20 | Nationals | H | 53% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 19 | Nationals | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 17 | Dodgers | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 17 | Dodgers | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 16 | Dodgers | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 14 | Angels | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 14 | Angels | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 13 | Angels | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 10 | Red Sox | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 9 | Red Sox | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 8 | Red Sox | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 7 | Marlins | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 6 | Marlins | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 5 | Marlins | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 3 | Tigers | H | 56% | 57% | -1% | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 2 | Tigers | H | 56% | 57% | -1% | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 1 | Tigers | H | 56% | 35% | +21%★ | LOSS✗ |
| May 31 | Angels | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 30 | Angels | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 29 | Angels | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 27 | Orioles | A | 64% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 26 | Orioles | A | 50% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 25 | Orioles | A | 23% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 24 | Yankees | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 23 | Yankees | A | 45% | - | - | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Yankees | A | 84% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 20 | Orioles | H | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 19 | Orioles | H | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 18 | Orioles | H | 95% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 17 | Marlins | H | 82% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 16 | Marlins | H | 64% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 15 | Marlins | H | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 13 | Blue Jays | A | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 12 | Blue Jays | A | 74% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 11 | Blue Jays | A | 73% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 10 | Red Sox | A | 94% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 9 | Red Sox | A | 45% | - | - | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Red Sox | A | 87% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 7 | Red Sox | A | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 6 | Blue Jays | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 5 | Blue Jays | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 4 | Blue Jays | H | 78% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 3 | Giants | H | 88% | 53% | +35%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 2 | Giants | H | 88% | 52% | +36%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 1 | Giants | H | 97% | 48% | +49%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 29 | Guardians | A | 19% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 28 | Guardians | A | 61% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 27 | Guardians | A | 71% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 26 | Twins | H | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 25 | Twins | H | 95% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 24 | Twins | H | 97% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 22 | Reds | H | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 21 | Reds | H | 43% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 20 | Reds | H | 35% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 19 | Pirates | A | 24% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 18 | Pirates | A | 43% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 17 | Pirates | A | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 16 | Chicago White Sox | A | 11% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 15 | Chicago White Sox | A | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 14 | Chicago White Sox | A | 20% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 12 | Yankees | H | 84% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 11 | Yankees | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 10 | Yankees | H | 89% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 8 | Cubs | H | 61% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 7 | Cubs | H | 35% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 6 | Cubs | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 5 | Twins | A | 63% | 49% | +14%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 4 | Twins | A | 48% | 48% | -1% | WIN✗ |
| Apr 3 | Twins | A | 39% | 49% | -10% | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 1 | Brewers | A | 13% | 44% | -31% | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 31 | Brewers | A | 13% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 30 | Brewers | A | 40% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 29 | Cardinals | A | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 28 | Cardinals | A | 66% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 26 | Cardinals | A | 50% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 24 | Braves | A | 22% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 23 | Phillies | A | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 22 | Blue Jays | A | 53% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 21 | Twins | H | 51% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 20 | Red Sox | H | 37% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 19 | Phillies | A | 49% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 17 | Yankees | H | 53% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 16 | Braves | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 15 | Pirates | H | 28% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 14 | Twins | A | 42% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 13 | Red Sox | A | 77% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 11 | Braves | A | 17% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 10 | Twins | H | 66% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 9 | Tigers | A | 33% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 8 | Braves | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 7 | Red Sox | A | 12% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 6 | Yankees | A | 33% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Tampa Bay Rays play in the American League conference, AL East division.
The Rays play their home games in Tampa Bay.
We analyze Rays games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions