MLBAmerican League • AL Central

Detroit Tigers

American League Conference • AL Central Division

Record

67-74

Division

AL Central

Conference

American League

Upcoming

0 games

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Detroit Tigers - 2026 Season

157415241474

Current Elo

1524

Season Change

Season High

1524

Season Low

1524

Avg Change

-5.0

Games

Model vs. Market History

Detroit Tigers - 2026 Season

Avg Edge

-12%

Model Edge Record

1-0

Model Edge Win %

100%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Model	Market	Edge	Result
Sep 27	Pirates	H	46%	51%	-6%	LOSS✓
Sep 26	Pirates	H	45%	61%	-16%	WIN✗
Sep 25	Pirates	H	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Aug 8	Giants	A	63%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 6	Mariners	A	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 6	Mariners	A	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
Aug 5	Mariners	A	60%	-	-	WIN✓
Aug 2	Athletics	A	45%	71%	-27%	WIN✗
Aug 2	Athletics	A	45%	50%	-6%	WIN✗
Aug 1	Athletics	A	46%	48%	-2%	WIN✗
Jul 29	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 28	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 27	Orioles	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 26	Royals	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 25	Royals	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 24	Royals	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 23	Royals	H	49%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 23	Cubs	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 22	Cubs	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 21	Cubs	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 19	Angels	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jul 19	Angels	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 18	Angels	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 12	Phillies	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 11	Phillies	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jul 10	Phillies	H	61%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 9	Athletics	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 8	Athletics	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 7	Athletics	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jul 5	Rangers	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 4	Rangers	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Jul 3	Rangers	A	44%	50%	-6%	LOSS✓
Jul 1	Yankees	A	45%	43%	+3%	WIN✗
Jun 30	Yankees	A	45%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 29	Yankees	A	51%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 28	Astros	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 27	Astros	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 26	Astros	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 25	Astros	H	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 24	Yankees	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 23	Yankees	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 22	Yankees	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 21	Chicago White Sox	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 20	Chicago White Sox	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 19	Chicago White Sox	H	62%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 17	Astros	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 17	Astros	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 16	Astros	A	46%	-	-	WIN✗
Jun 14	Guardians	A	44%	-	-	Scheduled
Jun 13	Guardians	A	44%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 12	Guardians	A	42%	-	-	LOSS✓
Jun 11	Twins	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 10	Twins	H	54%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 9	Twins	H	54%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 7	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 6	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
Jun 5	Mariners	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Jun 3	Rays	A	44%	43%	+1%	WIN✗
Jun 2	Rays	A	44%	43%	+1%	WIN✗
Jun 1	Rays	A	44%	65%	-21%	WIN✗
May 31	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 30	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 29	Chicago White Sox	A	45%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 28	Angels	H	55%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 27	Angels	H	28%	-	-	WIN✗
May 26	Angels	H	31%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 24	Orioles	A	50%	-	-	WIN✗
May 24	Orioles	A	25%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 23	Orioles	A	45%	-	-	Scheduled
May 22	Orioles	A	6%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 21	Guardians	H	51%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 20	Guardians	H	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 19	Guardians	H	6%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 18	Guardians	H	5%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 17	Blue Jays	H	8%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 16	Blue Jays	H	32%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 15	Blue Jays	H	12%	-	-	WIN✗
May 14	Mets	A	2%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 13	Mets	A	11%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 12	Mets	A	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 10	Royals	A	68%	-	-	WIN✓
May 9	Royals	A	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
May 8	Royals	A	47%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 6	Red Sox	H	7%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 5	Red Sox	H	3%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 4	Red Sox	H	19%	-	-	LOSS✓
May 3	Rangers	H	51%	53%	-2%	WIN✓
May 2	Rangers	H	68%	54%	+13%★	WIN✓
May 1	Rangers	H	11%	52%	-40%	LOSS✓
Apr 30	Braves	A	36%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 29	Braves	A	11%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 28	Braves	A	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 26	Reds	A	69%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 25	Reds	A	41%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 24	Reds	A	19%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 23	Brewers	H	65%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 22	Brewers	H	25%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 21	Brewers	H	14%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 20	Red Sox	A	48%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 19	Red Sox	A	57%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 18	Red Sox	A	62%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 17	Red Sox	A	20%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 16	Royals	H	33%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 15	Royals	H	43%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 14	Royals	H	55%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 12	Marlins	H	23%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 11	Marlins	H	59%	-	-	WIN✓
Apr 10	Marlins	H	28%	-	-	WIN✗
Apr 9	Twins	A	20%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 8	Twins	A	37%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 7	Twins	A	63%	-	-	LOSS✗
Apr 6	Twins	A	47%	-	-	LOSS✓
Apr 5	Cardinals	H	20%	55%	-36%	LOSS✓
Apr 4	Cardinals	H	38%	60%	-22%	WIN✗
Apr 3	Cardinals	H	61%	62%	-1%	WIN✓
Apr 1	Diamondbacks	A	47%	58%	-11%	LOSS✓
Apr 1	Diamondbacks	A	8%	50%	-42%	LOSS✓
Mar 31	Diamondbacks	A	5%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 29	Padres	A	28%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 28	Padres	A	29%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 26	Padres	A	19%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 24	Rockies	A	36%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 24	Rockies	A	51%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 21	Yankees	H	36%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 20	Phillies	A	58%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 18	Pirates	A	23%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 17	Orioles	H	27%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 16	Phillies	H	26%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 15	Yankees	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 14	Blue Jays	A	23%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 13	Pirates	H	16%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 12	Mets	H	19%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 11	Twins	A	28%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 10	Red Sox	A	44%	-	-	WIN✗
Mar 9	Rays	H	67%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 8	Blue Jays	A	9%	-	-	LOSS✓
Mar 7	Pirates	H	60%	-	-	LOSS✗
Mar 6	Red Sox	H	78%	-	-	WIN✓

Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Detroit Tigers play in the American League conference, AL Central division.

The Tigers play their home games in Detroit.

We analyze Tigers games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

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